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Tropical Storm Odalys Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2020-11-05 09:51:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU NOV 05 2020 792 FOPZ15 KNHC 050851 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM ODALYS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202020 0900 UTC THU NOV 05 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODALYS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 125W 34 4 8(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Summary for Tropical Storm Odalys (EP5/EP202020)
2020-11-05 09:51:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ODALYS A LITTLE STRONGER BUT EXPECTED TO START WEAKENING LATER THIS MORNING... As of 1:00 AM PST Thu Nov 5 the center of Odalys was located near 18.1, -122.3 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Odalys Public Advisory Number 7
2020-11-05 09:51:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 AM PST Thu Nov 05 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 050851 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Odalys Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202020 100 AM PST Thu Nov 05 2020 ...ODALYS A LITTLE STRONGER BUT EXPECTED TO START WEAKENING LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 122.3W ABOUT 865 MI...1395 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM PST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Odalys was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 122.3 West. Odalys is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the west and then southwest tonight and Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast, and Odalys is expected to become a remnant low on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 700 AM PST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Odalys Forecast Advisory Number 7
2020-11-05 09:51:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU NOV 05 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 050851 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ODALYS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202020 0900 UTC THU NOV 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 122.3W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 45SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 122.3W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 121.9W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 123.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.5N 124.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.9N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.2N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.3N 127.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.6N 128.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 122.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Storm Odalys Graphics
2020-11-05 03:37:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 05 Nov 2020 02:37:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 05 Nov 2020 03:31:41 GMT
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