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Summary for Tropical Storm Vicky (AT1/AL212020)
2020-09-16 10:24:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...VICKY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 16 the center of Vicky was located near 21.6, -33.9 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Vicky Public Advisory Number 9
2020-09-16 10:24:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Sep 16 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 160824 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Vicky Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212020 500 AM AST Wed Sep 16 2020 ...VICKY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.6N 33.9W ABOUT 755 MI...1215 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicky was located near latitude 21.6 North, longitude 33.9 West. Vicky is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A westward motion is expected to begin later today, followed by a west-southwestward motion by late Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast over the next few days, and the system could become a remnant low on Thursday or Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Vicky Forecast Advisory Number 9
2020-09-16 10:24:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 160824 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM VICKY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212020 0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 33.9W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 33.9W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 33.5W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.9N 35.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.0N 36.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.0N 38.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.7N 40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.4N 42.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.8N 44.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 33.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm Karina Forecast Discussion Number 14
2020-09-16 10:23:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Wed Sep 16 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 160823 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162020 200 AM PDT Wed Sep 16 2020 Karina is weakening in a hurry. Deep convection near the center has largely dissipated, and the only area of lingering convection is in the northeastern quadrant. An ASCAT overpass from around 0500 UTC showed maximum winds in the 30-35 kt range, and based on that data the initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt. The tropical storm is already in unfavorable conditions of cool 25 C waters and a dry and stable airmass. Since Karina will be moving over even cooler waters and into an environment of stronger southerly wind shear, continued weakening is expected. Karina is now forecast to become a remnant low by 24 hours and dissipate within a few days. Karina is moving west-northwestward at about 9 kt as it remains steered by a mid-level ridge to its northeast. A continued west-northwest to northwest motion should continue for about another day, but after Karina becomes a shallow remnant low it is expected to turn westward within the low-level trade winds. The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0900Z 21.7N 123.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 16/1800Z 22.4N 124.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 17/0600Z 23.1N 126.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/1800Z 23.5N 127.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 18/0600Z 23.4N 128.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 18/1800Z 23.1N 129.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Tropical Storm Karina (EP1/EP162020)
2020-09-16 10:22:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KARINA WEAKENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO... As of 2:00 AM PDT Wed Sep 16 the center of Karina was located near 21.7, -123.7 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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