je.st
news
Tag: tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-20 19:51:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EPSILON SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND BETTER ORGANIZED... As of 2:00 PM AST Tue Oct 20 the center of Epsilon was located near 27.2, -55.4 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
epsilon
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-20 19:15:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 201715 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 20 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Epsilon, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. A trough of low pressure extends from the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula southeastward into the southwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the east of the trough axis. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development while the system drifts westward over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-20 19:14:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201714 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Tropical Storm Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-20 17:02:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 20 Oct 2020 15:02:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 20 Oct 2020 15:02:40 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
epsilon
Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Discussion Number 6
2020-10-20 17:00:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 000 WTNT42 KNHC 201500 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Epsilon Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 A curved band of deep convection persists near and over the center of Epsilon this morning. The cyclone is experiencing southwesterly vertical wind shear as it interacts with an upper-level trough to its southwest, and the storm still has a hybrid-like appearance in satellite imagery with a band of convection well to the east and northeast of the center. Water vapor imagery indicates that some dry mid-level air is impinging on the south and west sides of the circulation. A very recent ASCAT-A overpass shows several 45-kt vectors in the southeast quadrant, and it is certainly possible that the intensity could be near 50 kt based on the known undersampling issues. The initial intensity is raised to 45 kt with this advisory, which is consistent with a T3.0 Dvorak classification from SAB. Epsilon remains a large cyclone with tropical-storm-force winds extending outward more than 250 n mi in the northern semicircle. Although Epsilon was drifting northeastward earlier this morning, recent visible satellite imagery suggest Epsilon is beginning to turn north-northwestward or northwestward with a faster forward speed as a mid-level ridge builds to its north and east. This general motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Beyond 72 h, a deep-layer trough moving eastward into the western Atlantic should cause Epsilon to turn northward and then accelerate northeastward near the end of the forecast period. The track guidance remains in good agreement, and only minor adjustments were made to the previous track in line with the consensus aids (excluding the outlying HWRF solution at this time). Epsilon is still forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda on Friday. The intensity forecast remains tricky since moderate south-southwesterly shear is expected to persist for another 12-18 h as Epsilon continues to interact with a nearby upper-level trough. By the time the deep-layer shear abates, Epsilon will be gaining latitude and moving over waters with lower oceanic heat content. Additionally, intrusions of environmental dry air could inhibit or at least slow the development process. Regardless, the global models show fairly significant deepening of the cyclone in the coming days, and the intensity guidance consensus still supports at least gradual strengthening. Therefore, little change was made to the official NHC intensity forecast, which still shows Epsilon becoming a hurricane late this week. Key Message: 1. Epsilon is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it makes its closest approach to Bermuda late this week. While it is too soon to determine the exact details of Epsilon's track and intensity near the island, there is a risk of direct impacts from wind, rainfall, and storm surge on Bermuda. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the island. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 26.5N 55.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 21/0000Z 27.4N 56.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 21/1200Z 28.2N 58.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 22/0000Z 28.9N 59.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 22/1200Z 30.0N 60.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 23/0000Z 31.4N 60.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 23/1200Z 32.4N 61.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 24/1200Z 34.5N 61.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 25/1200Z 39.5N 55.0W 70 KT 80 MPH $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [1171] [1172] [1173] [1174] [1175] [1176] [1177] [1178] [1179] [1180] [1181] [1182] [1183] [1184] [1185] [1186] [1187] [1188] [1189] [1190] next »