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Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT2/AL172020)
2020-09-09 10:49:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SHEARED PAULETTE JOGS TO THE WEST... ...EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD LATER TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 9 the center of Paulette was located near 19.2, -45.6 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 10
2020-09-09 10:49:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 090849 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 ...SHEARED PAULETTE JOGS TO THE WEST... ...EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 45.6W ABOUT 1440 MI...2315 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1145 MI...1845 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 45.6 West. Paulette is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A slightly faster motion toward the west-northwest is expected later today, followed by a temporary westward motion on Thursday. A turn back toward the west-northwest is expected on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, with gradual weakening anticipated on Thursday and Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Depression Rene Graphics
2020-09-09 10:49:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 08:49:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 08:49:25 GMT
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Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 9
2020-09-09 10:46:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 090846 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 Satellite imagery indicates that convection associated with Rene is increasing and becoming better organized, with a broad convective band forming in the western semicircle. Satellite intensity estimates indicate that the cyclone is close to regaining tropical storm strength, but the initial intensity will be held at 30 kt to see if the convection persists and what upcoming scatterometer data shows. The initial motion is west-northwestward or 285/12 kt. There is little change in the forecast philosophy for the first 48-60 h of the forecast, with Rene expected to continue west-northwestward. This part of the new forecast track is similar to the previous track. After 60 h, much of the track guidance has shifted significantly to the left and shows less of a northward turn by 96-120 hr. This shift has left the GFS and the old forecast on the right side of the guidance envelope. This part of the new forecast track is moved to the left of the previous track, but it lies to the right of the various consensus models. If the current guidance trends continue, additional westward shifts of the later part of the forecast track may be necessary in subsequent advisories, Conditions appear generally favorable for Rene to strengthen during the next 48-60 h, although the cyclone will be moving over sea surface temperatures of near 26.5C during that time. The intensity forecast calls for Rene to re-intensify and become a hurricane by the 60 h point. After that, the cyclone is likely to encounter moderate to strong northwesterly shear which should cause weakening. The new intensity forecast is unchanged since the previous forecast, and it lies between the ICON and HCCA intensity consensus forecasts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0900Z 17.4N 30.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 09/1800Z 17.9N 32.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 10/0600Z 18.7N 34.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 10/1800Z 19.6N 36.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 11/0600Z 20.8N 38.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 11/1800Z 22.2N 40.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 12/0600Z 24.2N 41.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 13/0600Z 28.0N 43.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 14/0600Z 30.0N 42.5W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
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Summary for Tropical Depression Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-09 10:46:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE EXPECTED TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS LATER TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 9 the center of Rene was located near 17.4, -30.5 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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