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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-27 13:44:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
820 ABNT20 KNHC 271144 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-27 07:05:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
812 ABPZ20 KNHC 270505 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 26 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Tropical Depression Boris, which has moved into the Central Pacific basin. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions have become less conducive, and development of this system is unlikely as it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-27 07:04:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
659 ABNT20 KNHC 270504 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Depression Boris Graphics
2020-06-27 04:41:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 27 Jun 2020 02:41:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 27 Jun 2020 02:41:01 GMT
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boris
Tropical Depression Boris Forecast Discussion Number 11
2020-06-27 04:40:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM HST Fri Jun 26 2020 232 WTPZ43 KNHC 270240 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Boris Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032020 500 PM HST Fri Jun 26 2020 There was a brief burst of deep convection over the estimated center of Boris but, overall, the system is not very well organized. The cloud pattern is elongated from southwest to northeast which is indicative of significant shear over the cyclone. The current intensity estimate remains 30 kt in agreement with a Dvorak classification from TAFB. Boris will be moving through an environment of south-southwesterly shear associated with a large upper-level low and associated trough near and to the west of 140W. This shear, along with relatively dry mid-level air, should cause gradual weakening and Boris will likely degenerate into a remnant low over the weekend. The official intensity forecast is the same as the previous one, and similar to the latest DSHIPS and LGEM guidance. Boris appears to have turned back toward a west-northwesterly heading and the motion estimate is 290/6 kt. The cyclone is expected to turn westward within the next 12 to 24 hours in response to a mid-level ridge to its north. Thereafter, the weakening low should begin to move a little south of west while embedded in the low-level trade wind flow. The official track forecast is in reasonable agreement with the latest model consensus. Since Boris is about to cross 140W longitude, it will be moving into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, and this is the last NHC advisory on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center beginning at 11 PM HST, under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP1, WMO header WTPA31 PHFO, and on the web at http://hurricanes.gov/cphc. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/0300Z 12.7N 139.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/1200Z 12.8N 140.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 28/0000Z 12.9N 141.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 28/1200Z 12.7N 143.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 29/0000Z 12.4N 145.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 29/1200Z 11.7N 147.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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