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Tropical Storm Linda Information by ATCF XML Prototype
2021-08-10 22:45:35| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at Tue, 10 Aug 2021 20:45:35 GMT. This is only a prototype and the file format may change without notice.
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Tropical Storm Linda Forecast Advisory Number 3
2021-08-10 22:44:49| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Graphics
2021-08-10 22:42:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 10 Aug 2021 20:42:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 10 Aug 2021 21:23:31 GMT
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Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast Discussion Number 14
2021-08-10 22:42:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 10 2021 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 102042 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 10 2021 Kevin is a poorly defined tropical cyclone. A recent scatterometer pass shows a small enclosed low embedded in a larger, elongated cyclonic gyre. This satellite wind data also indicated that the strongest winds associated with the cyclone are located well to the south of the center. Some of this data was questionable, and the wind retrievals greater than 45 kt were in an area of deep convection and likely rain contaminated. However, there were a few believable wind vectors outside of the convection between 40-45 kt, so Kevin's initial intensity has been adjusted to 45 kt, despite the disorganized satellite presentation. The scatterometer data along with surface observations from Clarion Island revealed that the mean center of Kevin is farther to the southwest than previously estimated, and therefore the initial motion is a somewhat uncertain 305/08kt. There is no change to the forecast track philosophy. A general northwestward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next several days as Kevin moves along the southwestern periphery of a deep-layer ridge. Other than an adjustment to the short-term track based on the shift in the initial position, the latest NHC track forecast is little changed from the previous one. Moderate to strong northeasterly wind shear is forecast to persist over Kevin for the next 18-24 h, which should limit the cyclone's ability to strengthen despite favorable SSTs and abundant mid-level moisture. By 24 h, the cyclone will begin to pass over progressively cooler waters and into a drier, more stable environment. Based on this scenario, the latest NHC intensity forecast shows no change in strength through tonight, followed by weakening beginning Wednesday. By 72 h, CMC and ECMWF model simulated satellite imagery continue to suggest that Kevin will be devoid of organized convection, and so the official NHC forecast shows Kevin as a remnant low by that time. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 19.1N 115.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 11/0600Z 19.9N 116.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 11/1800Z 21.2N 118.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 12/0600Z 22.2N 120.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 12/1800Z 23.3N 122.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 13/0600Z 24.3N 124.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 72H 13/1800Z 25.3N 126.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 14/1800Z 27.1N 130.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-08-10 22:41:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 102041 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 2100 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 15(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) AGUADILLA PR 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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