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Tropical Storm Felicia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2021-07-20 10:36:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 20 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 200836 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 0900 UTC TUE JUL 20 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH
Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 25
2021-07-20 10:36:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 20 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 200835 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 0900 UTC TUE JUL 20 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.3W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.3W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 135.6W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 138.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.9N 141.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 14.3N 144.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.7N 146.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.2N 149.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-20 07:34:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 200534 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-20 07:07:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200507 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 19 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Felicia, located over 1300 miles east of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical Depression Guillermo, located over 800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
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Tropical Storm Felicia Graphics
2021-07-20 04:37:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 20 Jul 2021 02:37:58 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 20 Jul 2021 03:22:36 GMT
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