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Summary for Hurricane Jose (AT2/AL122017)
2017-09-19 13:53:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JOSE STILL A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... As of 8:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 the center of Jose was located near 36.3, -71.6 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 973 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Number 56A
2017-09-19 13:53:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 191153 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 56A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017 ...JOSE STILL A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.3N 71.6W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Hull * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson * New Haven to Watch Hill A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the U.S. east coast from North Carolina northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located by an an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft near latitude 36.3 North, longitude 71.6 West. Jose is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through today with a turn to the northeast anticipated tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Jose is forecast to pass well offshore of the Delmarva peninsula later today, pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast on Wednesday, and pass offshore of southeastern Massachusetts by Thursday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, but Jose should begin to gradually weaken on Wednesday. Jose is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm- force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). A ship located more than 200 miles southwest of the center of Jose recently reported a sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h), and NOAA Buoy 44014, located east of the Virginia-North Carolina border or about 160 miles west of the center, also reported a sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h). The minimum central pressure recently measured by the reconnaissance aircraft was 973 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area beginning tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several days in these areas. For more information, please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut, southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected for Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket and Cape Cod through Wednesday. This rainfall could cause isolated flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane Jose Graphics
2017-09-19 10:44:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 08:44:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 08:44:24 GMT
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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 56
2017-09-19 10:38:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 190838 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 56 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS ...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 1(16) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) PORTLAND ME 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) CONCORD NH 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 2(12) 1(13) 1(14) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 3(14) 2(16) 1(17) WORCESTER MA 34 1 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 3(17) 1(18) 2(20) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 1(14) 2(16) 2(18) BOSTON MA 34 1 8( 9) 6(15) 2(17) 3(20) 2(22) 2(24) HYANNIS MA 34 4 15(19) 12(31) 4(35) 3(38) 2(40) 4(44) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 10 22(32) 15(47) 2(49) 5(54) 2(56) 2(58) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) PROVIDENCE RI 34 4 10(14) 8(22) 2(24) 3(27) 2(29) 2(31) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 5 6(11) 4(15) 1(16) 1(17) 2(19) 2(21) NEW HAVEN CT 34 5 6(11) 4(15) 1(16) 2(18) 2(20) 1(21) HARTFORD CT 34 3 6( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 2(17) 2(19) 1(20) NEW LONDON CT 34 5 10(15) 5(20) 3(23) 2(25) 2(27) 1(28) ALBANY NY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13) MONTAUK POINT 34 9 13(22) 7(29) 2(31) 2(33) 1(34) 3(37) ISLIP NY 34 6 7(13) 5(18) 1(19) 1(20) 2(22) 2(24) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 5 6(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) 2(18) 2(20) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 5 5(10) 3(13) 1(14) 1(15) 1(16) 2(18) NEWARK NJ 34 5 4( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 1(14) 1(15) 2(17) TRENTON NJ 34 5 4( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) 2(15) NWS EARLE NJ 34 6 5(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) 1(17) 2(19) ALLENTOWN PA 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) PHILADELPHIA 34 5 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) 2(14) ATLANTIC CITY 34 7 5(12) 3(15) X(15) 1(16) 1(17) 2(19) BALTIMORE MD 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) DOVER DE 34 5 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) 1(12) 1(13) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) WASHINGTON DC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 7 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) 1(14) 2(16) OCEAN CITY MD 34 9 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) 1(16) 3(19) PAX RIVER NAS 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 2(10) WALLOPS CDA 34 7 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) 2(15) RICHMOND VA 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 2(10) NORFOLK VA 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 2(10) OCEANA NAS VA 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) ELIZABETH CTY 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) CAPE HATTERAS 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) CHERRY PT NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Summary for Hurricane Jose (AT2/AL122017)
2017-09-19 10:38:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JOSE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... As of 5:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 the center of Jose was located near 36.0, -71.3 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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