je.st
news
Tag: cyclone
Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E (EP4/EP142017)
2017-08-30 04:46:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... ...NEW WATCHES ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... As of 9:00 PM MDT Tue Aug 29 the center of Fourteen-E was located near 17.7, -107.9 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Tags: summary
potential
tropical
cyclone
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2017-08-30 04:45:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 300245 TCMEP4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM TODOS SANTOS TO PUERTO CORTES AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO CORTES TO LOS BARRILES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.9W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.9W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.8N 108.6W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.7N 109.2W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N 109.8W...TROPICAL STORM MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.1N 110.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.1N 112.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.7N 114.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 27.3N 117.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 107.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
potential
advisory
tropical
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E Graphics
2017-08-30 01:55:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 29 Aug 2017 23:55:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 29 Aug 2017 21:36:35 GMT
Tags: potential
graphics
tropical
cyclone
Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E (EP4/EP142017)
2017-08-30 01:52:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY... As of 6:00 PM MDT Tue Aug 29 the center of Fourteen-E was located near 17.5, -107.5 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Tags: summary
potential
tropical
cyclone
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2017-08-30 01:52:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 PM MDT Tue Aug 29 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 292352 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142017 600 PM MDT Tue Aug 29 2017 ...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 107.5W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Todos Santos to Los Barriles A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Todos Santos to Los Barriles A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 107.5 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the disturbance will approach the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula by late Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm on Wednesday, and it could become a hurricane by late Thursday. The disturbance continues to become better organized, and only a small increase in the organization of the associated showers and thunderstorms would lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by late Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are also possible within the watch area on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are possible in rainbands along the coast of Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco tonight and Wednesday. RAINFALL: The system is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco and Nayarit, with isolated maximum totals of 20 inches possible along the immediate coast. This rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by the disturbance are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
potential
advisory
Sites : [292] [293] [294] [295] [296] [297] [298] [299] [300] [301] [302] [303] [304] [305] [306] [307] [308] [309] [310] [311] next »