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Remnants of Franklin Public Advisory Number 16
2017-08-10 16:34:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 101434 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Remnants Of Franklin Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 1000 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017 ...FRANKLIN DISSIPATES OVER MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 99.2W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NNW OF MEXICO CITY MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches and warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Franklin were located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 99.2 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The remnants of Franklin are expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible across the Mexican states of northern Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxacala, eastern Guanajuato, Hidalgo, Queretaro and eastern San Luis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains are capable of producing life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Remnants of Franklin Forecast Advisory Number 16
2017-08-10 16:33:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 10 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 101433 TCMAT2 REMNANTS OF FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 1500 UTC THU AUG 10 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 99.2W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 99.2W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 98.3W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 99.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Remnants of DON Graphics
2017-07-19 04:54:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 19 Jul 2017 02:54:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 19 Jul 2017 02:54:57 GMT
Remnants of DON Forecast Discussion Number 6
2017-07-19 04:49:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Jul 18 2017 000 WTNT45 KNHC 190249 TCDAT5 Remnants Of Don Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052017 1100 PM AST Tue Jul 18 2017 An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft made several passes through the system this evening and was only able to find a sharp wind shift--but no winds with a westerly component. Pressures have also risen, and it appears that Don no longer has a center of circulation. Therefore, Don is being declared an open wave, and this is the last advisory on this system. Based on the aircraft data, the wave is still producing maximum winds of 35 kt west of the Windward Islands over the far southeastern Caribbean Sea. The wave is moving westward at about 22 kt, and it should continue moving quickly westward across the Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Due to the system's fast motion, as well as unfavorable atmospheric conditions over the Caribbean Sea, regeneration into a tropical cyclone is not expected at this time. However, the wave is expected to continue producing gales through early Wednesday, and then winds just below gale force for the next couple of days. This is the last advisory on Don, and additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0300Z 11.9N 62.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...REMNANTS OF DON 12H 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Remnants of DON (AT5/AL052017)
2017-07-19 04:48:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DON DEGENERATES TO AN OPEN WAVE OVER THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Jul 18 the center of DON was located near 11.9, -62.5 with movement W at 25 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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