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Remnants of Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2017-09-19 04:39:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 190239 PWSAT4 REMNANTS OF LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF LEE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 43.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Remnants of Lee Forecast Advisory Number 17
2017-09-19 04:39:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 190239 TCMAT4 REMNANTS OF LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 43.0W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 43.0W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 42.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 43.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Remnants of Max Graphics
2017-09-15 10:41:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 15 Sep 2017 08:41:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 15 Sep 2017 08:41:13 GMT
Remnants of Max Forecast Discussion Number 9
2017-09-15 10:37:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 150836 TCDEP1 Remnants Of Max Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 400 AM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017 The high terrain of Mexico has disrupted Max's circulation and the system has degenerated into a broad area of low pressure. Surface observations indicate that winds associated with the low are barely 25 kt. The remnants of Max will probably continue moving slowly eastward until dissipation later today. The remnants of Max are still expected to produce heavy rain in the states of Guerrero and Oaxaca. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Max. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0900Z 17.0N 98.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF MAX 12H 15/1800Z 17.5N 97.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...REMNANTS OF MAX 24H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
max
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Summary for Remnants of Max (EP1/EP162017)
2017-09-15 10:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MAX DEGENERATES INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE... As of 4:00 AM CDT Fri Sep 15 the center of Max was located near 17.0, -98.0 with movement ENE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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max
remnants
ep1ep162017
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