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Remnants of Philippe Graphics
2017-10-29 21:38:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Oct 2017 20:38:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Oct 2017 20:38:14 GMT
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Remnants of Philippe Forecast Discussion Number 9
2017-10-29 21:32:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017 000 WTNT43 KNHC 292032 TCDAT3 Remnants Of Philippe Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017 500 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017 During the past few hours, strong vertical wind shear in excess of 50 kt, plus merger with a cold front, has taken its toll on Philippe's previously well-defined low-level circulation. The system has become elongated north-to-south within the frontal zone, and a new low-level center may have developed about 150 nmi farther north along the frontal boundary near NOAA buoy 41002. Now that Philippe has lost any tropical or subtropical characteristics due to merger with a synoptic-scale cold front, the system is declared to have dissipated. Much of the latent heat and deep convection associated with Philippe's remnants will likely be drawn into a larger extratropical low pressure that is developing near the outer banks of North Carolina, aiding in that intensification process. Although the developing powerful low near the Outer Banks is not directly associated with Philippe, interests along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts should closely monitor forecast products issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center, NOAA Ocean Prediction Center, and your local National Weather Service forecast office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/2100Z 31.0N 75.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 30/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Summary for Remnants of Philippe (AT3/AL182017)
2017-10-29 21:32:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PHILIPPE DISSIPATES OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 the center of Philippe was located near 31.0, -75.0 with movement NNE at 46 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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remnants
Remnants of Philippe Public Advisory Number 9
2017-10-29 21:32:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 292032 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Remnants Of Philippe Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017 500 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017 ...PHILIPPE DISSIPATES OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 75.0W ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Philippe were located near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 75.0 West. The remnants of Philippe have merged with a frontal system and are moving toward the north-northeast near 46 mph (74 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. Nearby NOAA buoy 41002 recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust to 54 mph (87 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches) based on data from NOAA buoy 41002. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Remnants of Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2017-10-29 21:32:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN OCT 29 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 292032 PWSAT3 REMNANTS OF PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017 2100 UTC SUN OCT 29 2017 AT 2100Z THE REMNANTS OF PHILIPPE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS ...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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