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Remnants of Harvey Public Advisory Number 11
2017-08-20 04:32:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 200232 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Remnants Of Harvey Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017 1100 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017 ...HARVEY DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 71.8W ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM N OF NTHRN TIP OF GUAJIRA PNSULA COLOMBIA ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in northern Nicaragua, northern Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of the remnants of Harvey. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Harvey were located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 71.8 West. The tropical wave associated with Harvey's remnants is moving quickly toward the west near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general motion will continue for the next day or two. The remnants are expected to move westward across the central Caribbean Sea on Sunday and across the western Caribbean Sea toward Central America on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system unless regeneration occurs or if tropical cyclone watches or warnings are required for land areas. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Remnants of Franklin Graphics
2017-08-10 16:44:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Aug 2017 14:44:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Aug 2017 14:44:15 GMT
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Remnants of Franklin Forecast Discussion Number 16
2017-08-10 16:36:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017 000 WTNT42 KNHC 101436 TCDAT2 Remnants Of Franklin Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 1000 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017 Surface synoptic data and visible satellite images indicate that the surface circulation of Franklin has dissipated over south-central Mexico, not far from Mexico City. The remnants are moving westward, or about 260/17 kt. A strong mid- to upper-level high pressure system should continue to steer the remnants of Franklin generally westward across Mexico today and tonight. Since the mid-level remnants of Franklin are likely to survive while moving into the east Pacific by Friday morning, the system will be monitored for signs of development in that basin. This is the last advisory on Franklin. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 19.7N 99.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF FRANKLIN 12H 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Remnants of Franklin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2017-08-10 16:35:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 10 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 101435 PWSAT2 REMNANTS OF FRANKLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 1500 UTC THU AUG 10 2017 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF FRANKLIN WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS ...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Summary for Remnants of Franklin (AT2/AL072017)
2017-08-10 16:34:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FRANKLIN DISSIPATES OVER MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 the center of Franklin was located near 19.7, -99.2 with movement W at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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