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Remnants of Four Graphics
2017-07-07 22:52:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 07 Jul 2017 20:52:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 07 Jul 2017 21:24:00 GMT
Remnants of Four Forecast Discussion Number 8
2017-07-07 22:35:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Jul 07 2017 000 WTNT44 KNHC 072035 TCDAT4 Remnants Of Four Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042017 500 PM AST Fri Jul 07 2017 Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the depression no longer has a closed circulation, and the cyclone has degenerated into a tropical wave. Showers associated with the system have continued to diminish and remain disorganized. Based on the lack of organization, this will be the last advisory on this system. The remnants of this cyclone will continue to move toward the west-northwest today, but environmental conditions are not favorable for regeneration. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/2100Z 16.5N 52.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Remnants of Four Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2017-07-07 22:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 07 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 072034 PWSAT4 REMNANTS OF FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042017 2100 UTC FRI JUL 07 2017 AT 2100Z THE REMNANTS OF FOUR WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 52.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KTS...25 MPH...35 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Summary for Remnants of Four (AT4/AL042017)
2017-07-07 22:34:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 5:00 PM AST Fri Jul 7 the center of Four was located near 16.5, -52.5 with movement WNW at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 25 mph.
Remnants of Four Public Advisory Number 8
2017-07-07 22:34:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Jul 07 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 072034 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Remnants Of Four Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042017 500 PM AST Fri Jul 07 2017 ...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 52.5W ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Tropical Depression Four were located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 52.5 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1012 mb (29.89 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Avila
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