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Hurricane Irma Update Statement
2017-09-06 18:00:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1200 PM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 000 WTNT61 KNHC 061600 TCUAT1 Hurricane Irma Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1200 PM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 ...1200 PM AST POSITION UPDATE... ...CORE OF IRMA HEADING TOWARD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... The government of the Netherlands has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for Saba and St. Eustatius. A wind gust to 87 mph (141 km/h) has recently been reported at St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands. SUMMARY OF 1200 PM AST...1600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 64.2W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM E OF ST. THOMAS ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM E OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.23 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane Irma Graphics
2017-09-06 16:54:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 06 Sep 2017 14:54:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 06 Sep 2017 15:25:52 GMT
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Hurricane Irma Public Advisory Number 30
2017-09-06 16:48:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 061448 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 ...EYE OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IRMA CLOSING IN ON THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 64.0W ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM ESE OF ST. THOMAS ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...918 MB...27.11 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Hurricane Warning has been issued for the north coast of Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Le Mole St. Nicholas. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for for the coast of Haiti from south of Le Mole St. Nicholas to Port-Au-Prince. The government of France has discontinued all warnings for Guadeloupe. The government of Antigua has discontinued all warnings for Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Anguilla * Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten * Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy * British Virgin Islands * U.S. Virgin Islands * Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra * Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the northern border with Haiti * Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Le Mole St. Nicholas * Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuba from Matanzas province eastward to Guantanamo province * Central Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from south of Cabo Engano westward to the southern border with Haiti * Haiti from south of Le Mole St. Nicholas to Port-Au-Prince A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic and Haiti, as well as Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas, and Florida should monitor the progress of Irma. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 64.0 West. Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the extremely dangerous core of Irma will move over portions of the Virgin Islands very soon, pass near or just north of Puerto Rico this afternoon or tonight, pass near or just north of the coast of the Dominican Republic Thursday, and be near the Turks and Caicos and southeastern Bahamas late Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 185 mph (295 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 918 mb (27.11 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and large breaking waves will raise water levels ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS by the following amounts within the hurricane warning area near and to the north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Northern Leeward Islands...7 to 11 ft Turks and Caicos Islands...15 to 20 ft Southeastern Bahamas...15 to 20 ft Northern coast of the Dominican Republic...3 to 5 ft Northern coast of Haiti and the Gulf of Gonave...1 to 3 ft The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... British and U.S. Virgin Islands except St. Croix...7 to 11 ft Northern coast of Puerto Rico...4 to 6 ft Southern coast of Puerto Rico and St. Croix...2 to 4 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue today within the hurricane warning area in the Leeward Islands. Hurricane conditions are occurring over the British and U.S. Virgin Islands and will spread westward over portions of Puerto Rico later today. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin within the hurricane warning area in the Dominican Republic and and Haiti on Thursday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area in the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands beginning Thursday night. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in the central Bahamas and Cuba by Friday. RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Saturday: Northern Leeward Islands...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Northeast Puerto Rico and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands...4 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches Southwest Puerto Rico, the southern Leeward Islands, and Saint Croix...2 to 4 inches Southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Northern Dominican Republic, northern Haiti, eastern and central Cuba...4 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches Southwest Haiti...1 to 4 inches In all areas this rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Irma will affect the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, and portions of the southeast coast of the United States during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane Irma Forecast Discussion Number 30
2017-09-06 16:48:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 000 WTNT41 KNHC 061448 TCDAT1 Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 The eye of Irma passed over Barbuda, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin this morning, and will be moving over portions of the British and U.S. Virgin Islands shortly. A NOAA National Ocean Service observing site on Barbuda measured sustained winds of 103 kt with a gust to 135 kt earlier this morning before the anemometer failed. The station also reported a minimum pressure of 916.1 mb. A minimum pressure of 915.9 mb was reported on St. Barthelemy. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft that performed a single pass through the eye this morning reported SFMR winds of 152 kt in the northwestern eyewall around 12Z. Assuming there are stronger winds in the northeastern eyewall, the initial intensity remains 160 kt for this advisory. Another Air Force aircraft is currently entering the storm. Irma is moving west-northwestward or 285/14 kt. A strong high pressure ridge extending from the central Atlantic westward is expected to keep Irma moving west-northwestward during the next 2 to 3 days. The track guidance is in good agreement during this period and the NHC track is along the southern edge of the guidance envelope in best agreement with the ECMWF and HFIP corrected consensus model. After that time, a shortwave trough moving southward over the east-central United States is expected to erode the western portion of the ridge. As a result, Irma is forecast to turn northwestward and northward, but there is still a fair amount of uncertainty regarding the exact timing and location of recurvature. The NHC forecast has been shifted eastward to be in better agreement with the latest model guidance, however it should be noted that there are numerous GEFS and ECMWF ensemble members that take Irma over and/or west of Florida. The updated NHC track is in best agreement with the latest ECMWF ensemble mean. Users are reminded that the average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are about 175 and 225 statue miles, respectively. Irma is forecast to remain within favorable atmospheric conditions and over warm waters during the next 3 to 4 days. Therefore, Irma is likely to remain a very powerful hurricane during this time, and the NHC intensity forecast is unchanged from the previous advisory through day 4. Since the 120-h forecast point is now offshore, the intensity forecast at that time has been adjusted accordingly. Now that Irma's eye is clearly visible in radar imagery from San Juan, Tropical Cyclone Updates with hourly position estimates will be issued starting at 1200 PM AST (1600 UTC). KEY MESSAGES: 1. Irma is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane and will bring life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards to portions of the northern Leeward Islands, including the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today. 2. A hurricane warning is in effect for the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos, and portions of Haiti, with a hurricane watch in effect for the central Bahamas and much of Cuba. Irma is likely to bring dangerous wind, storm surge, and rainfall to some of these areas tonight through Friday. 3. Irma could directly affect the remainder of the Bahamas and Cuba as an extremely dangerous major hurricane later this week. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Irma and listen to advice given by officials. 4. Direct impacts from wind, storm surge, and rainfall are possible in the Florida Keys and portions of the Florida Peninsula beginning later this week and this weekend. However, given the forecast uncertainty at these time ranges, it is too soon to specify the location and magnitude of these impacts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/1500Z 18.2N 64.0W 160 KT 185 MPH 12H 07/0000Z 19.0N 66.2W 155 KT 180 MPH 24H 07/1200Z 20.2N 69.0W 150 KT 175 MPH 36H 08/0000Z 21.2N 71.7W 145 KT 165 MPH 48H 08/1200Z 21.9N 74.2W 140 KT 160 MPH 72H 09/1200Z 22.9N 78.1W 135 KT 155 MPH 96H 10/1200Z 25.2N 80.0W 125 KT 145 MPH 120H 11/1200Z 29.0N 80.5W 110 KT 125 MPH $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 30
2017-09-06 16:44:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 061444 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 160 KTS...185 MPH...295 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 37(41) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 38(44) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 37(42) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 34(42) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 42(58) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 36(51) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 39(64) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 39(70) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 40(71) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 40(45) 31(76) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 32(48) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 49(59) 21(80) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 27(55) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 21(36) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 51(67) 16(83) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 36(38) 20(58) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 17(37) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 51(70) 14(84) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 39(41) 17(58) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 15(38) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 51(73) 11(84) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 42(45) 14(59) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 12(38) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 46(65) 9(74) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 34(37) 9(46) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 7(29) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 38(50) 9(59) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 7(30) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 41(46) 19(65) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 16(35) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 38(41) 22(63) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 16(32) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 22(50) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 27(47) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 27(34) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 42(60) 15(75) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 18(45) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 13(28) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 50(55) 20(75) 3(78) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 17(37) 5(42) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 3(22) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 67(76) 11(87) 1(88) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 15(58) 2(60) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 12(36) 2(38) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 48(51) 38(89) 2(91) X(91) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 51(62) 1(63) X(63) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 1(39) X(39) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 48(54) 20(74) 1(75) X(75) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 17(27) X(27) X(27) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) MAYAGUANA 34 X 2( 2) 67(69) 29(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) 19(19) 58(77) 3(80) X(80) X(80) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 44(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51) GRAND TURK 34 X 27(27) 72(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND TURK 50 X 2( 2) 87(89) 3(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) 66(66) 5(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) 5(32) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 2(15) ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 20(50) 2(52) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 1(21) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 56(64) 6(70) X(70) CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 6(40) X(40) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 4(23) 1(24) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) 11(43) 1(44) X(44) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LES CAYES 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) CAPE BEATA 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PUERTO PLATA 34 2 51(53) 37(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) PUERTO PLATA 50 X 8( 8) 41(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) PUERTO PLATA 64 X 1( 1) 20(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SANTO DOMINGO 34 2 27(29) 6(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PONCE PR 34 86 4(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) PONCE PR 50 16 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) PONCE PR 64 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AGUADILLA PR 34 89 8(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) AGUADILLA PR 50 17 31(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) AGUADILLA PR 64 3 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAN JUAN PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JUAN PR 50 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) SAN JUAN PR 64 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) VIEQUES PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VIEQUES PR 50 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) VIEQUES PR 64 36 X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SAINT THOMAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT THOMAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT THOMAS 64 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) SAINT CROIX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT CROIX 50 40 X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) SAINT CROIX 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT MAARTEN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT MAARTEN 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARBUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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hurricane
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