je.st

Home › seymour

Tag: seymour

Summary for Hurricane SEYMOUR (EP5/EP202016)

2016-10-25 10:52:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...SEYMOUR BECOMES A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE... ...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED... As of 3:00 AM MDT Tue Oct 25 the center of SEYMOUR was located near 15.6, -113.8 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 970 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 115 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane seymour ep5ep202016

Hurricane SEYMOUR Public Advisory Number 9

2016-10-25 10:52:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 AM MDT TUE OCT 25 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 250851 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE SEYMOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 300 AM MDT TUE OCT 25 2016 ...SEYMOUR BECOMES A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE... ...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 113.8W ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the small eye of Hurricane Seymour was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 113.8 West. Seymour is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A west to west-northwest motion is expected through tonight. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on Wednesday. The maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Seymour is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is expected today, but Seymour is forecast to begin weakening on Wednesday. Seymour is a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: number public advisory hurricane

Hurricane SEYMOUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2016-10-25 10:52:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 25 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 250851 PWSEP5 HURRICANE SEYMOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 0900 UTC TUE OCT 25 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SEYMOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 115W 34 52 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 15N 115W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 120W 34 X 6( 6) 9(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 120W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 16(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) 1(18) X(18) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

Hurricane SEYMOUR Forecast Advisory Number 9

2016-10-25 10:51:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 25 2016 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 250851 TCMEP5 HURRICANE SEYMOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 0900 UTC TUE OCT 25 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.8W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.8W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 115.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.6N 118.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 120.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.8N 121.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.2N 122.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number advisory forecast hurricane