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Tropical Storm KARINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33

2014-08-21 04:46:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 210246 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Summary for Tropical Storm KARINA (EP1/EP112014)

2014-08-21 04:46:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...KARINA STALLS OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD ON THURSDAY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 20 the center of KARINA was located near 15.9, -136.4 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm KARINA Public Advisory Number 33

2014-08-21 04:46:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 210246 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARINA ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 800 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014 ...KARINA STALLS OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD ON THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 136.4W ABOUT 1255 MI...2020 KM E OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1790 MI...2880 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.4 WEST. KARINA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD TO THE EAST OR EAST-SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 33

2014-08-21 04:45:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 210245 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.4W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.4W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 136.4W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.7N 136.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.5N 135.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.6N 135.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.3N 134.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.3N 131.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.4N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 27.0N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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