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Summary for Tropical Storm DARBY (EP5/EP052016)

2016-07-19 16:38:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DARBY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 19 the center of DARBY was located near 19.8, -135.4 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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Tropical Storm DARBY Public Advisory Number 32

2016-07-19 16:38:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 191438 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...DARBY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 135.4W ABOUT 1280 MI...2060 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Darby was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 135.4 West. Darby is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west is forecast to occur tonight, and this general motion is expected to continue during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Tropical Storm DARBY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32

2016-07-19 16:38:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 191438 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 1500 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 22(49) X(49) X(49) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 1(15) X(15) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 13(27) 2(29) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 3(25) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Tropical Storm DARBY Forecast Advisory Number 32

2016-07-19 16:34:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 191434 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 1500 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 135.4W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 135.4W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 134.9W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.1N 137.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.1N 139.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.1N 141.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.7N 143.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N 148.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 19.9N 151.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.6N 153.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 135.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Hurricane DARBY Graphics

2016-07-19 11:08:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Jul 2016 08:34:58 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Jul 2016 09:04:38 GMT

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