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Summary for Tropical Storm Gabrielle (AT3/AL082019)

2019-09-06 16:34:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...GABRIELLE QUICKLY REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL STORM... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE EARLY NEXT WEEK... As of 11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 6 the center of Gabrielle was located near 27.3, -38.7 with movement NW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Public Advisory Number 12

2019-09-06 16:34:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 06 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 061434 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082019 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 06 2019 ...GABRIELLE QUICKLY REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL STORM... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 38.7W ABOUT 1005 MI...1615 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 38.7 West. Gabrielle is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest with a slight increase in forward speed are expected over the next couple of days. A decrease in forward speed and a turn to the north are forecast to occur by Sunday morning. Satellite-derived winds indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2019-09-06 16:34:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 000 FONT13 KNHC 061434 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019 1500 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast Advisory Number 12

2019-09-06 16:34:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 061434 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019 1500 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 38.7W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 75SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 38.7W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 38.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.9N 40.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 20SE 20SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 30.7N 43.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 40SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.1N 46.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.4N 48.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 37.6N 47.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 42.6N 41.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 50.0N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 38.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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