je.st

Home › felicia

Tag: felicia

Hurricane Felicia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2021-07-18 10:39:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 180839 PWSEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 0900 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 3 62(65) 1(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) 15N 130W 50 X 16(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 130W 64 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 41(50) 8(58) X(58) X(58) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 5(42) X(42) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

Summary for Hurricane Felicia (EP1/EP062021)

2021-07-18 10:39:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...FELICIA REMAINS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS WEEK... As of 11:00 PM HST Sat Jul 17 the center of Felicia was located near 15.5, -127.1 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 949 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 140 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane ep1ep062021 felicia

Hurricane Felicia Public Advisory Number 17

2021-07-18 10:39:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1100 PM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 180839 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 1100 PM HST Sat Jul 17 2021 ...FELICIA REMAINS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 127.1W ABOUT 1230 MI...1980 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 127.1 West. Felicia is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A westward motion is expected to begin later today or tonight, followed by a turn to the west-southwest on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slight weakening is forecast today, followed by a faster rate of weakening on Monday and Tuesday. Felicia is a very small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 949 mb (28.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

Tags: number public advisory hurricane

Hurricane Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 17

2021-07-18 10:38:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 034 WTPZ21 KNHC 180838 TCMEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 0900 UTC SUN JUL 18 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 127.1W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 127.1W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 126.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.8N 128.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.1N 130.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.3N 132.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.2N 134.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 5SE 5SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.9N 137.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.3N 140.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 14.3N 145.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 13.5N 151.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 127.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH

Tags: number advisory forecast hurricane