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Hurricane ARTHUR Public Advisory Number 12

2014-07-03 23:16:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT THU JUL 03 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 032116 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 12...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 500 PM EDT THU JUL 03 2014 CORRECTED FOR PRESSURE IN SUMMARY TABLE ...EYE OF ARTHUR NEARING THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.4N 77.9W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NANTUCKET ISLAND AND FOR CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO CHATHAM. ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND EASTWARD AND NORTHWARD TO POINT ACONI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * PAMLICO SOUND * EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY * WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND * NANTUCKET * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO CHATHAM A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO POINT ACONI A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. ANY UNEXPECTED DEVIATION OF THE TRACK TO THE LEFT...OR AN EXPANSION OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE STORM...WOULD BRING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST IN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NOVA SCOTIA...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THE OUTER BANKS TONIGHT. THE CENTER OF ARTHUR IS FORECAST TO PASS EAST OF THE MID-ALANTIC COAST FRIDAY AND APPROACH NOVA SCOTIA FRIDAY NIGHT. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES OVER OR NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKEN FRIDAY NIGHT AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYLONE SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BEGINNING THIS EVENING. ANY UNEXPECTED DEVIATION OF THE TRACK TO THE LEFT...OR AN EXPANSION OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE STORM...WOULD BRING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... NORTH CAROLINA WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...3 TO 5 FT PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...1 TO 3 FT EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...1 TO 3 FT THE HIGHEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND THE NEW EXPERIMENTAL POTENTIAL STORM SURGE FLOODING MAP FOR MORE DETAILS. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE UPPER COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING AREAS FROM THE COAST OF GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO NORTH CAROLINA. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM EDT AND 900 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Hurricane ARTHUR Graphics

2014-07-03 23:11:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 03 Jul 2014 20:54:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 03 Jul 2014 21:05:49 GMT

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Hurricane ARTHUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2014-07-03 22:54:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 03 2014 000 FONT11 KNHC 032054 PWSAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 2100 UTC THU JUL 03 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) X(34) X(34) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 38(46) X(46) X(46) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 42(42) 18(60) X(60) X(60) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) X(19) X(19) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 31(51) X(51) X(51) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 72(77) 3(80) X(80) X(80) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 34(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 31(31) 55(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 51(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 52(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 10(10) 38(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 15(15) 18(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 10(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BOSTON MA 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X 4( 4) 61(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 4( 4) 77(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 44(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 4( 4) 29(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 6( 6) 34(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEWARK NJ 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TRENTON NJ 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) BALTIMORE MD 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 2 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 38(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 25 24(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) NORFOLK NAS 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 38 23(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) NORFOLK VA 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WALLOPS CDA 34 2 37(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) WALLOPS CDA 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 50 92 6(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) CAPE HATTERAS 64 61 19(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 64 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) WILMINGTON NC 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Hurricane ARTHUR Forecast Advisory Number 12

2014-07-03 22:54:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 03 2014 000 WTNT21 KNHC 032053 TCMAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 2100 UTC THU JUL 03 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NANTUCKET ISLAND AND FOR CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO CHATHAM. ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND EASTWARD AND NORTHWARD TO POINT ACONI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * PAMLICO SOUND * EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY * WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND * NANTUCKET * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO CHATHAM A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO POINT ACONI A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. ANY UNEXPECTED DEVIATION OF THE TRACK TO THE LEFT...OR AN EXPANSION OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE STORM...WOULD BRING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NOVA SCOTIA...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 77.9W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 130SE 80SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..140NE 160SE 130SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 77.9W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 78.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 35.3N 76.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.2N 72.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 41.9N 68.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 120SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 45.2N 64.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 200SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 50.4N 56.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 56.5N 47.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 60.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 77.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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