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Tropical Storm SIMON Public Advisory Number 3
2014-10-02 10:36:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT THU OCT 02 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 020836 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 200 AM PDT THU OCT 02 2014 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM SIMON JUST OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 106.1W ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.1 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS WESTERN GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN...COLIMA...WESTERN JALISCO AND NAYARIT IN WESTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm SIMON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2014-10-02 10:36:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 020836 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM SIMON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 0900 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 11(11) 38(49) 9(58) 3(61) 1(62) X(62) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 8(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 13(24) 3(27) 1(28) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm SIMON Forecast Advisory Number 3
2014-10-02 10:36:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 020836 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 0900 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 106.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 106.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 105.7W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.5N 107.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 108.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N 110.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.9N 112.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N 114.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.2N 115.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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PredictionIO's Simon Chan on Machine Learning by Devs for Devs
2014-09-17 02:29:44| TechNewsWorld
PredictionIO is building the MySQL of prediction. The young company recently released version 0.7.3 of its open source machine-learning server. Unlike typical prediction algorithms and open source libraries, PredictionIO is based on making machine learning more available. Cofounder Simon Chan sees a gaping hole in open source tools to connect database programmers and software developers.
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machine
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chan
Kano's Alejandro Simon: If This, Then Do That
2014-08-28 05:07:16| TechNewsWorld
Imagine a world where playing Pong and Minecraft gives people the power to program their computers. That world is Kano. A crowdfunded startup, it took the idea behind Lego to teach computer programming by playing first-generation computer games. Kano launched on Kickstarter in November 2013. More than 13,000 people from some 50 countries raised $1.5 million in 30 days.
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