je.st

Home › jerry

Tag: jerry

Hurricane Jerry Forecast Advisory Number 15

2019-09-21 04:58:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 210258 TCMAT5 HURRICANE JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. MAARTEN * ST. MARTIN * ST. BARTHELEMY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 62.8W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 62.8W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 62.5W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.4N 64.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.6N 66.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.0N 68.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.3N 68.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.9N 68.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 30.8N 66.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N 62.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 62.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number advisory jerry forecast

Hurricane Jerry Graphics

2019-09-21 01:47:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 20 Sep 2019 23:47:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 20 Sep 2019 21:46:46 GMT

Tags: graphics jerry hurricane hurricane graphics

Summary for Hurricane Jerry (AT5/AL102019)

2019-09-21 01:45:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...JERRY'S CENTER PASSING NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS STILL POSSIBLE ON THOSE ISLANDS... As of 8:00 PM AST Fri Sep 20 the center of Jerry was located near 19.9, -62.5 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

Tags: summary jerry hurricane at5al102019

Hurricane Jerry Public Advisory Number 14A

2019-09-21 01:45:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Fri Sep 20 2019 284 WTNT35 KNHC 202345 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 14A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019 800 PM AST Fri Sep 20 2019 ...JERRY'S CENTER PASSING NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS STILL POSSIBLE ON THOSE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 62.5W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NNE OF ANGUILLA ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM NNW OF BARBUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * St. Maarten * St. Martin * St. Barthelemy A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 6 to 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 62.5 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will continue to move north of the northern Leeward Islands tonight and pass well north of Puerto Rico on Saturday. Jerry will then pass well east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday and turn northward over the western Atlantic on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast overnight, but Jerry could re-strengthen early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. RAINFALL: Jerry is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, with isolated maximum totals of 4 to 6 inches from Barbuda northwest across St. Maarten, Anguilla, and Anegada. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods. Jerry is forecast to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches with maximum amounts of 3 inches across the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch areas this evening. SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: number public advisory jerry