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Tropical Depression Mario Forecast Advisory Number 23

2019-09-23 04:32:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 230232 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 0300 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 112.9W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 112.9W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 112.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.6N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.0N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.1N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 112.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Depression Mario Graphics

2019-09-22 23:11:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 21:11:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 21:45:36 GMT

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Tropical Depression Mario Forecast Discussion Number 22

2019-09-22 23:10:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 222109 CCA TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Mario Discussion Number 22...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 300 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 Corrected status at 48H (24/1800Z) Mario has maintained its reprieve from discontinuance of advisories, with a few thunderstorms persisting to the west of the low-level center. This continues to barely support tropical cyclone status. Assuming that this convection dissipates soon, the cyclone could degenerate into remnant low by early Monday. The system is likely to dissipate completely in a couple of days. Mario continues to move north-northwestward, or 345 at 9 kt. The cyclone should move around the western periphery of a mid-level anticyclone and make landfall over the south-central Baja California on Tuesday as a very weak system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 22.9N 112.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 24.0N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/1800Z 25.3N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0600Z 26.4N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1800Z 27.5N 113.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Depression Mario Forecast Advisory Number 22

2019-09-22 23:08:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 222108 CCA TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 CORRECTED STATUS AT 24/1800Z THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 112.4W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 112.4W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 112.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.0N 113.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.3N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.4N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.5N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 112.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Summary for Tropical Depression Mario (EP4/EP142019)

2019-09-22 22:39:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...MARIO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BEFORE REACHING BAJA CALIFORNIA... As of 3:00 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 the center of Mario was located near 22.9, -112.4 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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