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Summary for Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E (EP1/EP212015)
2015-11-19 03:34:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED BUT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE... As of 8:00 PM MST Wed Nov 18 the center of TWENTY-ONE-E was located near 13.2, -106.1 with movement N at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Public Advisory Number 3
2015-11-19 03:34:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM MST WED NOV 18 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 190234 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 800 PM MST WED NOV 18 2015 ...DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED BUT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 106.1W ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 106.1 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h), but a turn toward the west-northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected to begin on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression has the opportunity to become a tropical storm on Thursday The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2015-11-19 03:34:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU NOV 19 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 190234 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 0300 UTC THU NOV 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.1W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.1W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.7N 106.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.6N 108.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Graphics
2015-11-19 01:48:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 19 Nov 2015 00:48:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Nov 2015 21:04:48 GMT
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Graphics
2015-11-18 23:23:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 18 Nov 2015 22:23:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Nov 2015 21:04:48 GMT
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