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Summary for Tropical Depression Norbert (EP4/EP192020)

2020-10-10 04:36:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...NORBERT REMAINS A WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 9:00 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 the center of Norbert was located near 14.0, -106.8 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Tropical Depression Norbert Public Advisory Number 18

2020-10-10 04:36:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 900 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 100236 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Norbert Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 900 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 ...NORBERT REMAINS A WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 106.8W ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Norbert was located near latitude 14.0 North, longitude 106.8 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, and Norbert is expected to dissipate by Sunday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Berg

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Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Advisory Number 18

2020-10-10 04:34:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 10 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 100234 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 0300 UTC SAT OCT 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.8W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.8W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.4N 107.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.9N 107.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.1N 107.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.3N 107.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 106.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BERG

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Tropical Depression Norbert Graphics

2020-10-09 22:35:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 09 Oct 2020 20:35:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 09 Oct 2020 21:31:43 GMT

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Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Discussion Number 17

2020-10-09 22:34:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 157 WTPZ44 KNHC 092034 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Norbert Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 300 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 Deep convection has persisted near the center of Norbert for the past several hours. However, a recent ASCAT overpass as well as visible satellite imagery revealed that the low-level circulation is becoming elongated. In addition, the wind field surrounding the depression suggests that is remains very near, if not embedded in the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The initial intensity of 25 kt is based off data from the ASCAT overpass. The GFS and ECMWF both indicate that Norbert will open into a trough as it becomes absorbed into the ITCZ in a couple of days, and the official forecast now indicates dissipation just after 48 h. Norbert continues to move toward the northwest at 3 kt. A slow northwestward motion is expected until dissipation as the cyclone is steered by weak mid-level ridging to its northeast. The latest NHC track forecast is little changed from the previous one, and is near the various track consensus guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 13.5N 106.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 13.8N 106.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 14.4N 107.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 14.7N 107.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 11/1800Z 14.9N 107.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto

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