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Tropical Depression Boris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2020-06-26 16:42:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 26 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 261442 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032020 1500 UTC FRI JUN 26 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression Boris Forecast Advisory Number 9
2020-06-26 16:42:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 26 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 261441 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032020 1500 UTC FRI JUN 26 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 139.0W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 139.0W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 138.7W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.2N 139.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.5N 142.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.4N 144.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.1N 146.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 11.5N 148.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 139.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Summary for Tropical Depression Boris (EP3/EP032020)
2020-06-26 10:51:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BORIS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION WHILE MAINTAINING A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION... As of 11:00 PM HST Thu Jun 25 the center of Boris was located near 11.6, -138.5 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Boris Public Advisory Number 8
2020-06-26 10:51:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Thu Jun 25 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 260851 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Boris Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032020 1100 PM HST Thu Jun 25 2020 ...BORIS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION WHILE MAINTAINING A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 138.5W ABOUT 1235 MI...1990 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 2035 MI...3275 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Boris was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 138.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Friday afternoon. A turn toward the west is forecast by Friday night, with a westward or west-southwestward motion continuing through Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight and Friday morning. After that time, Boris is forecast to gradual weaken, and degenerate into a remnant low by Saturday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Boris Graphics
2020-06-26 10:48:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 26 Jun 2020 08:48:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 26 Jun 2020 08:48:38 GMT
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