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Tropical Storm Leslie Graphics
2018-09-30 04:42:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 30 Sep 2018 02:42:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 30 Sep 2018 03:22:06 GMT
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leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2018-09-30 04:41:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 942 FONT13 KNHC 300241 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Summary for Tropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132018)
2018-09-30 04:41:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD... As of 11:00 PM AST Sat Sep 29 the center of Leslie was located near 33.9, -52.0 with movement SW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Public Advisory Number 15
2018-09-30 04:41:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 29 2018 637 WTNT33 KNHC 300241 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 29 2018 ...LESLIE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.9N 52.0W ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 52.0 West. Leslie is moving toward the southwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A slow southwest or south-southwest track is forecast for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will affect Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and most of the Greater and Lesser Antilles through the weekend. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 15
2018-09-30 04:40:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 409 WTNT23 KNHC 300240 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0300 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 52.0W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 100SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 240SE 420SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 52.0W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 51.8W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.4N 52.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.0N 53.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.6N 53.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.2N 54.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 150SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 31.7N 54.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 34.5N 53.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 52.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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