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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 13:35:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 161135 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located more than 700 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association with a small low pressure system located over the central tropical Atlantic. Satellite data also indicate that the low has become better defined, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Little, if any, development of this system is expected before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast tonight or Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the central and upper Texas coastal areas later this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 07:45:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160545 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located nearly 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms have increased tonight in association with an area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could form within the next two to three days. After mid week, this system is likely to interact or merge with the disturbance to its east, and further development after that time is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers centered a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 07:26:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 160526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida. Showers and thunderstorms have increased overnight in association with an area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next two to three days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Little, if any, development of this system is expected before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast tonight or Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rainfall along portions of Texas coast later this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 01:32:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152332 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form around the middle of the week while it moves slowly west-northwestward well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers centered several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 01:31:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 152331 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, located a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida. A small low pressure system is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the east-central tropical Atlantic. Slow development is possible during the next day or two, but environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development by the middle of the week, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday, and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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