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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 01:10:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162310 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Satellite data indicate that a small low pressure area located about 650 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to become better defined, however, the associated showers and thunderstorms still lack organization. Any significant increase in the organization of the thunderstorm activity would lead to the formation of a tropical depression later tonight or on Tuesday while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A larger area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms. Although the circulation of this system is not yet well defined, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression within the next day or so. This disturbance is expected to move to the west-northwest near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 20:24:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 161824 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL...Correction 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 Corrected time of landfall for second disturbance For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located less than 700 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. A well-defined small low pressure system located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this system is possible before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast Tuesday night or Wednesday. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the central and upper Texas coastal areas later this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 19:52:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 161751 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located less than 700 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. A well-defined small low pressure system located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this system is possible before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast Tuesday tonight or Wednesday. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the central and upper Texas coastal areas later this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 19:47:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located in the southwestern part of the basin. A small area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to become better organized. Any significant increase in organized thunderstorm activity will likely result in the formation of a tropical depression tonight or tomorrow. Beyond mid week, strong upper-level winds from the system to the east could inhibit further development while the low moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Thunderstorm activity associated with a larger low pressure area located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is also becoming better organized, with satellite-derived winds indicating that the circulation is also better defined. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in a day or two as the system moves west- northwestward near or a short distance offshore of the coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America is associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-16 13:45:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161145 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located in the southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next two to three days. After mid week, this system is forecast to interact or merge with the disturbance to its east, and further development could be limited. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has become better defined overnight, and the associated thunderstorm activity has also increased. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form around the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A large area of cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America is associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moving westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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