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Tropical Storm Norbert Public Advisory Number 4
2020-10-06 16:42:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 06 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 061442 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Norbert Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 06 2020 ...NORBERT CHANGES LITTLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 106.6W ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Norbert was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 106.6 West. Norbert is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected until tonight. The system is forecast to meander thereafter through midweek. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible over the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Norbert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2020-10-06 16:42:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 061442 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 1500 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 15N 105W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 8(17) 11(28) 2(30) X(30) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 13(18) 17(35) 7(42) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-06 13:09:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061109 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Delta, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, a little over a hundred miles south of Grand Cayman. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-06 13:03:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061103 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Marie, located over the western part of the basin, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Norbert, located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Satellite derived winds indicate a trough of low pressure is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. This system is producing limited shower activity and upper-level winds are becoming less favorable. Therefore, development of this system is not anticipated while it moves little during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A broad area of low pressure, located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds could become a little more conducive for development in a couple of days as this system slowly moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Norbert are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Norbert are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Storm Marie Graphics
2020-10-06 10:57:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Oct 2020 08:57:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Oct 2020 08:57:44 GMT
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