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Tropical Storm Peter Graphics

2021-09-21 10:36:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 08:36:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 09:22:36 GMT

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Tropical Storm Rose Forecast Advisory Number 9

2021-09-21 10:36:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 210836 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 36.4W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 36.4W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 36.2W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.4N 37.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.8N 38.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N 39.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.4N 40.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.7N 41.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.0N 40.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.7N 36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.8N 31.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 36.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Summary for Tropical Storm Peter (AT1/AL162021)

2021-09-21 10:35:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DISORGANIZED PETER PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Sep 21 the center of Peter was located near 19.6, -63.8 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm Peter Forecast Advisory Number 11

2021-09-21 10:35:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 210835 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162021 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 63.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 63.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 63.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.3N 65.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.2N 66.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.2N 67.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.2N 68.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.2N 67.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.2N 65.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 29.2N 64.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 63.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-21 07:15:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 210515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form within the next few days while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By late Friday, however, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a stable environment, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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