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Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 8
2021-09-21 04:45:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 210245 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 ...ROSE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 35.4W ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 35.4 West. Rose is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Rose is forecast to turn north-northwestward to northward on Thursday. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is anticipated overnight. Gradual weakening is expected to begin on Tuesday, and should continue during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Summary for Tropical Storm Rose (AT2/AL172021)
2021-09-21 02:32:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ROSE A LITTLE STRONGER... As of 8:30 PM AST Mon Sep 20 the center of Rose was located near 18.7, -35.0 with movement NW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Rose Update Statement
2021-09-21 02:32:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 830 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 000 WTNT62 KNHC 210032 TCUAT2 Tropical Storm Rose Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 830 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 ...ROSE A LITTLE STRONGER... Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds in Rose are now near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. The data also suggests that the center of Rose is slightly west of the previous forecast track. These changes will be reflected in the 11 PM AST (0300 UTC) advisory package. SUMMARY OF 830 PM AST...0030 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 35.0W ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brown
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-21 01:29:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 202329 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located about 150 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continue to show some signs of organization, although recent satellite wind data indicate that the system lacks a surface circulation. Upper-level winds, however, are expected to become conducive for further development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Thursday or Friday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located several hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly southeastward over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic Ocean, before it moves northward over cooler waters over the weekend. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Brown
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-21 01:17:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 202317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 20 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of this week while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By late Friday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters, which will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
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