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Summary for Tropical Storm Julio (EP5/EP152020)
2020-09-06 16:32:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JULIO ACCELERATES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... As of 9:00 AM MDT Sun Sep 6 the center of Julio was located near 19.2, -108.8 with movement WNW at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Julio Public Advisory Number 4
2020-09-06 16:32:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 06 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 061431 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Julio Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152020 900 AM MDT Sun Sep 06 2020 ...JULIO ACCELERATES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 108.8W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julio was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 108.8 West. Julio is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h). A fast west-northwestward motion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the west at a slower forward speed on Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Only small fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Julio Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-09-06 16:31:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 061431 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152020 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.8W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.8W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 107.8W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.9N 111.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.3N 113.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.4N 115.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.2N 115.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.2N 116.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-06 13:29:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061129 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined. However, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next day or so while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a tropical wave that is located just off the coast of western Africa. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall is possible there on Monday and Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or two while it moves westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea. After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds should limit its formation chances. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development during the next several days while this system moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-06 13:21:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061120 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Julio, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Julio are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Julio are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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