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Tropical Storm Fausto Public Advisory Number 3
2020-08-16 16:44:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 161444 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO... ...NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ANY FURTHER... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 119.6W ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 119.6 West. Fausto is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn to the west is expected to occur Monday or Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through tonight. Weakening should begin on Monday, and the system is expected to become a remnant low in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-08-16 16:44:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 161444 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112020 1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 119.6W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 119.6W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 119.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.3N 121.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.6N 124.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.1N 127.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.0N 129.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.6N 131.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.9N 133.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 119.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-16 13:24:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
818 ABNT20 KNHC 161123 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Josephine, located a couple of hundred miles northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle, located several hundred miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A fast-moving tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast speed is likely to limit development while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today and Monday and moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. After that time, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea, and upper-level winds could be conducive for development during the middle to latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another tropical wave located just west of the coast of Africa is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers. This wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and some development will be possible by the middle to latter part of the week as environmental conditions become more conducive while the system is over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-16 13:22:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161121 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Advisories are also being issued on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec have continued to become better organized overnight, and it appears that a tropical depression or storm is forming. If these development trends continue, advisories will be issued on this system this morning. The low is expected to move generally west-northwestward, well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEP1, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.php $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Josephine Graphics
2020-08-16 10:47:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 08:47:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 09:24:44 GMT
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