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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-16 01:17:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 152317 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Josephine, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Kyle, located several hundred miles southeast of the New England states of the United States. A westward-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is currently producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. However, upper-level winds are expected to become a little more conducive for development by the middle of next week as the disturbance approaches the central and southern Lesser Antilles and moves into the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Josephine Graphics
2020-08-15 22:36:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 20:36:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 20:36:33 GMT
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Tropical Storm Kyle Graphics
2020-08-15 22:35:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 20:35:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 20:35:51 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Josephine (AT1/AL112020)
2020-08-15 22:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF JOSEPHINE CONTINUING TO PASS NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Aug 15 the center of Josephine was located near 20.0, -61.6 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 17
2020-08-15 22:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 891 WTNT31 KNHC 152034 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 ...CENTER OF JOSEPHINE CONTINUING TO PASS NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 61.6W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 61.6 West. Josephine is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast and north of the Leeward Islands today through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Josephine is now in an area of unfavorable upper-level winds, and weakening is expected during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is possible in Puerto Rico through Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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