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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-14 19:12:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141712 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Six-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Six-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Six-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-14 19:06:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141706 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Depression Six-E Graphics
2020-07-14 16:39:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 14:39:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 14:39:23 GMT
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Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2020-07-14 16:38:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 802 WTPZ41 KNHC 141438 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Six-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 800 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 The depression has been moving over a ridge of warmer sea surface temperatures (about 28C) over the past few hours, and a nontrivial amount of deep convection redeveloped soon after the issuance of the previous advisory, albeit at least 60 n mi to the southwest of the low-level center. However, with no appreciable change in the cyclone's structure, the initial intensity remains 25 kt in accordance with the overnight scatterometer data. The depression is forecast to reach waters colder than 26C in 12-24 hours, which should extinguish the remaining deep convection. The updated NHC forecast now shows the depression degenerating into a remnant low by 24 hours, with dissipation by 48 hours. Another scenario is that the depression could dissipate at any time if it opens up into a trough, which is shown by most of the global model guidance. The depression is moving west-northwestward, or 285/14 kt, which is more poleward than has been shown by the dynamical track models. Because of this, the simpler shallow trajectory models are given a higher contribution on this cycle, with the new NHC track forecast ending up a bit north of the previous forecast. The depression and its remnants are expected to gradually accelerate toward the west-northwest or west over the next day or two until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/1500Z 18.1N 116.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 15/0000Z 18.3N 119.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 15/1200Z 18.4N 122.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/0000Z 18.2N 126.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Tropical Depression Six-E (EP1/EP062020)
2020-07-14 16:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 the center of Six-E was located near 18.1, -116.6 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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