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Tropical Depression Six-E Public Advisory Number 1
2020-07-13 22:33:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 132033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 300 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 112.6W ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 112.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm later tonight or on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-07-13 22:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2020 304 WTPZ21 KNHC 132033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 112.6W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 0 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 112.6W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.7N 114.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 117.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.8N 120.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.8N 124.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.6N 127.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.5N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 112.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-13 19:55:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
268 ABPZ20 KNHC 131755 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Thunderstorm activity has persisted near the center of a small low pressure area located less than 200 miles south-southwest of Socorro Island, Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development, and this system still has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next day or so while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph. However, conditions are expected to become less favorable for tropical cyclone development by Wednesday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-13 19:10:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131710 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jul 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-13 13:49:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jul 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristina, located over 1000 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little more concentrated overnight in association with a small low pressure area located less than 200 miles south-southeast of Socorro Island, Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development, and this system still has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next day or so while it moves generally westward at about 20 mph. However, conditions are expected to become less favorable for tropical cyclone development by Wednesday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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