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Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-07-14 10:30:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 140830 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.4N 117.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 120.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.2N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.0N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 115.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-14 07:14:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140514 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Six-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Six-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Six-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Blake
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weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-14 07:00:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140500 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Blake
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atlantic
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tropical
Tropical Depression Six-E Graphics
2020-07-14 04:36:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 02:36:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2020 03:24:38 GMT
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tropical depression
Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2020-07-14 04:34:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 140234 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Six-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 900 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020 Deep convection associated with the depression has decreased substantially since the last advisory, particularly during the last 3 hours. At 00Z, microwave, visible, and IR imagery showed the depression had a small but well-defined center with a small area of deep convection west of its center. Most satellite-based intensity estimates at that time were 35 kt, which would typically support naming the system as a tropical storm. Since that time, however, it appears that nearly all of the deep convection has dissipated and it is likely that the intensity estimates would be lower if they were valid now. The initial intensity is therefore conservatively held at 30 kt for this advisory, but it is certainly possible that the system is producing tropical-storm-force winds. The NHC forecast is largely unchanged. The cyclone is forecast to move generally westward for the next day or two, steered by a mid-level ridge to the north and low-level easterly flow. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so, but significant strengthening is not expected. An increase of southwesterly shear and cool SSTs should cause the cyclone to become a remnant low and then dissipate within about 3 days. The track and intensity guidance is all in good agreement and confidence in the NHC forecast is fairly high. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0300Z 17.0N 114.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 14/1200Z 17.2N 116.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 15/0000Z 17.3N 119.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 15/1200Z 16.9N 123.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 16/0000Z 16.0N 126.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 16/1200Z 16.0N 130.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: number
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depression
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