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Tropical Storm HOWARD Public Advisory Number 11
2016-08-03 04:56:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT TUE AUG 02 2016 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 030256 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HOWARD ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092016 800 PM PDT TUE AUG 02 2016 ...HOWARD GRADUALLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 131.3W ABOUT 1385 MI...2230 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Howard was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 131.3 West. Howard is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). The cyclone should turn toward the west at about the same rate of forward speed by Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the system may become a post-tropical cyclone by Thursday Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Tropical Storm HOWARD Forecast Advisory Number 11
2016-08-03 04:56:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 030256 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092016 0300 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 131.3W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 131.3W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 130.7W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.9N 133.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.7N 136.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N 138.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N 141.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N 147.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 23.0N 152.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 23.0N 157.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 131.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Tropical Storm HOWARD Graphics
2016-08-02 22:32:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 02 Aug 2016 20:32:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 02 Aug 2016 20:31:34 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm HOWARD (EP4/EP092016)
2016-08-02 22:31:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...HOWARD MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD COOLER WATERS... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Aug 2 the center of HOWARD was located near 19.3, -130.2 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm HOWARD Forecast Advisory Number 10
2016-08-02 22:31:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 022030 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092016 2100 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 130.2W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 130.2W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 129.5W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.1N 132.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.0N 135.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.7N 137.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.1N 140.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N 146.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 151.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.0N 156.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 130.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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