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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo (AT3/AL182019)
2019-10-28 15:38:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...COLD WATERS FINALLY TAKE THEIR TOLL ON PABLO... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Oct 28 the center of Pablo was located near 46.8, -17.7 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Public Advisory Number 12
2019-10-28 15:38:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 281438 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 ...COLD WATERS FINALLY TAKE THEIR TOLL ON PABLO... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...46.8N 17.7W ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo was located near latitude 46.8 North, longitude 17.7 West. Pablo is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and a slow north to northwest motion is expected over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. Gale-force winds, some of which are not directly associated with Pablo, are expected to persist well to the north of the cyclone through at least Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Pablo. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at: www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at: metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Forecast Advisory Number 12
2019-10-28 15:38:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 281438 TCMAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 420SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.6N 17.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.8N 17.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW...AND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR. $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Graphics
2019-10-26 04:54:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:54:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 26 Oct 2019 03:24:12 GMT
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olga
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posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Forecast Discussion Number 3
2019-10-26 04:53:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019 000 WTNT42 KNHC 260253 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019 Earlier this evening, the last 2 passes through Olga made by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft showed that the cyclone becoming embedded within a cold front. Strong northwesterly flow was observed within 10 n mi northwest of Olga's center and a sharp temperature and dew point gradient was measured across the cyclone. It does not appear that Olga has separated from the front in any significant way since the plane left. In fact, recent surface observations suggest that either the front passes through the center of the cyclone or its circulation has become poorly defined. Based on all these data, Olga is now classified as post-tropical and this is the last NHC advisory. Since Olga is entangled with the front, the winds and seas associated the front are now considered to be representative of the overall system. The intensity of the post-tropical cyclone is set at 45 kt based on SFMR winds of 48 kt and flight-level winds of 54 kt found by the plane behind the front. No substantial change in Olga's strength is anticipated before it reaches the coast Saturday morning, and the winds should decrease quickly thereafter. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to move quickly up the Mississippi Valley on Saturday, before turning northeastward toward the Great Lakes late Saturday or early Sunday. Dissipation is anticipated before the end of the weekend. Severe weather, including heavy rain, gusty winds, and isolated tornadoes will be the primary hazard associated with post-tropical Olga as it races northward. Coastal flooding is also possible tonight along portions of the Louisiana coast. For more information specific to your area, please see products from your local weather service office at weather.gov. Key messages: 1. Olga is now a post-tropical cyclone. Detailed information about hazards related to wind, rainfall, coastal flooding, and tornadoes can be found in products issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices, available at weather.gov FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 27.8N 92.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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