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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Public Advisory Number 62
2019-09-08 16:52:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 081451 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Advisory Number 62 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 ...CENTER OF DORIAN MOVING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...50.0N 59.4W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ESE OF CAPE WHITTLE QUEBEC ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM N OF CAPE ST. GEORGE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Canadian Hurricane Center has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for Nova Scotia. The Canadian Hurricane Center has also discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning and the Hurricane Watch for the Magdalen Islands and the Tropical Storm Warning for Prince Edward Island. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke's Bay A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Stone's Cove to Indian Harbour * Hawke's Bay to Fogo Island * Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian was located near latitude 50.0 North, longitude 59.4 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On this track, Dorian will be moving near or over northwestern Newfoundland or eastern Labrador later today and then enter the North Atlantic this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring mainly over water. The post- tropical cyclone is forecast to drop below hurricane strength after passing Newfoundland later today, and it is forecast to be absorbed by another large low pressure system in a couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). Stephenville, Newfoundland, recently reported sustained winds of 51 mph (81 km/h) and a wind gust of 62 mph (100 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the Hurricane Warning area in Newfoundland at this time, and hurricane conditions are expected later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia. RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across far eastern Quebec into Newfoundland and Labrador. SURF: Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next few days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S. will continue for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Forecast Advisory Number 62
2019-09-08 16:51:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 081451 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 62 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR NOVA SCOTIA. THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ALSO DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR * HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND * MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 50.0N 59.4W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 50 KT.......140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT.......300NE 300SE 210SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 900SE 780SW 220NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 50.0N 59.4W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 49.4N 60.4W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 52.3N 55.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 120SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...390NE 360SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 54.7N 49.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...390NE 360SE 360SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 56.2N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 360SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 50.0N 59.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Graphics
2019-09-08 13:55:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 11:55:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 09:24:41 GMT
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian (AT5/AL052019)
2019-09-08 13:52:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF DORIAN PASSING EAST OF ANTICOSTI ISLAND... As of 8:00 AM AST Sun Sep 8 the center of Dorian was located near 49.4, -60.6 with movement NNE at 26 mph. The minimum central pressure was 961 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Public Advisory Number 61A
2019-09-08 13:52:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 081151 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 61A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 800 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 ...CENTER OF DORIAN PASSING EAST OF ANTICOSTI ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...49.4N 60.6W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF HEATH POINT ANTICOSTI ISLAND ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM NW OF CAPE ST GEORGE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Eastern Nova Scotia from Ecum Secum to Brule * Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke's Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Magdalen Islands A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Prince Edward Island * Magdalen Islands * Stone's Cove to Indian Harbour * Hawke's Bay to Fogo Island * Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian was located near latitude 49.4 North, longitude 60.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this general motion with a turn to the northeast is expected during the next couple of days. On this track, Dorian will be moving near or over western Newfoundland later today and then enter the North Atlantic this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring mainly over water. The post- tropical cyclone is forecast to drop below hurricane strength after passing Newfoundland later today. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). A sustained wind of 55 mph (89 km/h) with a gust to 73 mph (117 km/h) was recently reported at Heath Point on Anticosti Island. The estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb (28.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are still occuring over portions of Nova Scotia. Hurricane conditions are expected elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area in Newfoundland today. Hurricane conditions are also possible in the Hurricane Watch area through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia. RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through tonight: New Brunswick...2 to 4 inches Newfoundland and far eastern Quebec...1 to 2 inches These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding. SURF: Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next few days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S. will continue for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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