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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Forecast Advisory Number 61
2019-09-08 10:38:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 080838 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 61 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR NOVA SCOTIA WEST OF ECUM SECUM ON THE SOUTHERN COAST AND WEST OF BRULE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST. ALL WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO BRULE * WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MAGDALEN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * MAGDALEN ISLANDS * STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR * HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND * MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N 61.1W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 50 KT.......140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT.......300NE 300SE 210SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 600SE 660SW 220NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N 61.1W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.6N 61.9W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 50.9N 58.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 60NW. 34 KT...360NE 320SE 300SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 53.6N 52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT...300NE 320SE 240SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 55.7N 45.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 320SE 300SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 57.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 300SE 330SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.5N 61.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Graphics
2019-09-08 07:52:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 05:52:21 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 03:24:44 GMT
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian (AT5/AL052019)
2019-09-08 07:51:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DORIAN BRINGING HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS TO A LARGE PORTION OF ATLANTIC CANADA... As of 2:00 AM AST Sun Sep 8 the center of Dorian was located near , with movement NNE at 26 mph. The minimum central pressure was 960 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Public Advisory Number 60A
2019-09-08 07:51:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 897 WTNT35 KNHC 080551 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 60A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 200 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 ...DORIAN BRINGING HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS TO A LARGE PORTION OF ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...47.5 61.8W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF MADGALEN ISLANDS ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WSW OF CAPE ST GEORGE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Eastern Nova Scotia from Lower East Pubnico to Brule * Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke's Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Prince Edward Island * Magdalen Islands A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Prince Edward Island * Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to north of Lower East Pubnico * Fundy National Park to Shediac * Stone's Cove to Indian Harbour * Hawke's Bay to Fogo Island * Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour * Magdalen Islands A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian was located near latitude 47.5 North, longitude 61.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this general motion with a turn to the northeast is expected during the next couple of days. On this track, Dorian will be moving near or over western Newfoundland later today and then enter the North Atlantic this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring mainly over water. The post- tropical cyclone is forecast to drop below hurricane strength on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). An observing site at Wreckhouse along the southwestern coast of Newfoundland recently measured a sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) with a gust to 73 mph (117 km/h). A sustained wind of 48 mph (77 km/h) with a gust to 62 mph (100 km/h) was recently reported at North Point on Price Edward Island. A sustained wind of 60 mph (97 km/h) with a gust to 78 mph (125 km/h) was also recently observed at Heath Point on Anticosti Island. The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are still occuring over portions of Nova Scotia. Hurricane conditions are also expected elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area today. Hurricane conditions are also possible in the Hurricane Watch area through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia. RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Sunday Night: Nova Scotia...3 to 5 inches, isolated 7 inches. New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island...2 to 4 inches Newfoundland and far eastern Quebec...1 to 2 inches These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding. SURF: Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next few days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S. will continue for a couple of more days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Graphics
2019-09-08 04:36:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 02:36:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 03:24:44 GMT
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