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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2017-08-06 22:36:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 062036 PWSAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) X(22) LA PESCA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) X(37) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 29(35) X(35) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 11(32) 1(33) X(33) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 X 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) BELIZE CITY 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GUANAJA 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Tags: number potential speed wind

 

Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Forecast Advisory Number 1

2017-08-06 22:35:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 062035 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD AND AROUND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO CAMPECHE. THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CAMPECHE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE AROUND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 82.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 82.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 81.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N 83.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT...TROPICAL CYCLONE 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N 85.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 88.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.9N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 93.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.2N 97.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 82.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Tags: number potential advisory tropical

 
 

OSK-ShipTech to examine potential of plying new vessel between two Danish routes

2017-08-01 01:00:00| Ship Technology

Ferry Company Ls has selected OSK-ShipTech to study the possibility of deploying a new vessel between Ls and Frederikshavn, Denmark.

Tags: two potential examine routes

 

Astronomers Identify First Potential Exomoon 4,000 Light-Years Away

2017-07-28 20:53:07| Extremetech

A team from Columbia University thinks it might have the first solid evidence of a moon outside our solar system, and Hubble is going to give it a look. The post Astronomers Identify First Potential Exomoon 4,000 Light-Years Away appeared first on ExtremeTech.

Tags: potential identify astronomers identify potential

 

With the potential for 31,000 jobs, Portland moves forward with brownfield development plan

2017-07-28 19:14:45| PortlandOnline

Clare Duffy in the Portland Business Journal, July 20, 2017

Tags: plan development jobs potential

 

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