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Hurricane Irma Graphics
2017-09-04 07:47:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 04 Sep 2017 05:47:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 04 Sep 2017 03:22:50 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Irma (AT1/AL112017)
2017-09-04 07:46:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...IRMA MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 2:00 AM AST Mon Sep 4 the center of Irma was located near 17.0, -51.5 with movement WSW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 961 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 115 mph.
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Hurricane Irma Public Advisory Number 19A
2017-09-04 07:46:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Mon Sep 04 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 040546 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 19A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 200 AM AST Mon Sep 04 2017 ...IRMA MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 51.5W ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis * Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten * Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Interests in the remainder of the Leeward Islands, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Irma. Additional hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of this area later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 51.5 West. Irma is moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west- southwestward to westward motion is expected through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Irma is expected to approach the northern Leeward Islands late Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb (28.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Tuesday. SURF: Swells generated by Irma will begin affecting the northern Leeward Islands today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Hurricane Irma Graphics
2017-09-04 04:44:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 04 Sep 2017 02:44:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 04 Sep 2017 03:22:50 GMT
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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
2017-09-04 04:32:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 04 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 040232 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0300 UTC MON SEP 04 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 42(46) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 45(54) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 38(68) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 35(46) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 53(53) 21(74) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 20(50) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 15(31) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 9(20) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 9(49) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 8(27) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 3(31) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 15(46) 1(47) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 13(23) X(23) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 24(50) 1(51) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) 1(28) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 14(60) X(60) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 16(37) X(37) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 13(24) X(24) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 8(60) X(60) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 7(36) X(36) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 7(24) X(24) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 64(65) 5(70) X(70) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) 7(46) X(46) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 5(29) X(29) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 4(56) X(56) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 3(31) X(31) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 3(19) X(19) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 72(80) 1(81) X(81) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 55(56) 1(57) X(57) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 1(39) X(39) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 53(63) 1(64) X(64) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) X(37) X(37) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) 1(22) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 50(83) X(83) X(83) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 54(61) X(61) X(61) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) X(40) X(40) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 40(68) X(68) X(68) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 37(42) X(42) X(42) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) X(24) X(24) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 22(45) X(45) X(45) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) X(16) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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