je.st
news
Tag: seymour
Hurricane SEYMOUR Graphics
2016-10-27 17:06:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 27 Oct 2016 14:33:28 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 27 Oct 2016 15:03:33 GMT
Tags: graphics
hurricane
seymour
hurricane graphics
Hurricane SEYMOUR Forecast Discussion Number 18
2016-10-27 16:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU OCT 27 2016 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 271433 TCDEP5 HURRICANE SEYMOUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 800 AM PDT THU OCT 27 2016 Seymour is rapidly weakening due to a combination of southwesterly vertical wind shear and decreasing sea surface temperatures, with recent microwave imagery showing the low-level center becoming exposed to the south of the remaining deep convection. The initial intensity is lowered to 70 kt based on a blend of satellite intensity estimates and continuity from the last advisory, and it is possible this could be generous. Rapid weakening should continue, and Seymour is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm later today, become a remnant low in 36 hours or less, and dissipate completely between 48-72 hours. The initial motion is 335/10. Seymour is forecast to turn northward later today, and then north-northeastward tonight or on Friday ahead of a large deep-layer trough located well offshore of the west coast of the United States. The track guidance remains tightly clustered and the new forecast track, which lies near the center of the guidance envelope, is an update of the previous track. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/1500Z 20.2N 122.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 28/0000Z 21.5N 122.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 28/1200Z 23.0N 122.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 29/0000Z 24.3N 120.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 29/1200Z 25.6N 120.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
hurricane
Summary for Hurricane SEYMOUR (EP5/EP202016)
2016-10-27 16:32:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SEYMOUR STILL RAPIDLY WEAKENING... ...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Oct 27 the center of SEYMOUR was located near 20.2, -122.7 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
seymour
ep5ep202016
Hurricane SEYMOUR Public Advisory Number 18
2016-10-27 16:32:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU OCT 27 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 271432 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE SEYMOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 800 AM PDT THU OCT 27 2016 ...SEYMOUR STILL RAPIDLY WEAKENING... ...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 122.7W ABOUT 845 MI...1355 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Seymour was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 122.7 West. Seymour is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north and a decrease in forward speed are expected later today, with a turn toward the north-northeast expected tonight or on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued rapid weakening is forecast, and Seymour is likely to weaken to a tropical storm this afternoon and become a remnant low pressure system on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Hurricane SEYMOUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
2016-10-27 16:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 27 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 271432 PWSEP5 HURRICANE SEYMOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 1500 UTC THU OCT 27 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SEYMOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 25N 120W 34 1 X( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] next »