je.st

Home › theta

Tag: theta

Tropical Storm Theta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2020-11-14 03:36:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 140236 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM THETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 21.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER REINHART/CANGIALOSI

Tags: number speed wind storm

Summary for Tropical Storm Theta (AT5/AL302020)

2020-11-14 03:35:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...THETA BEGINS WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... As of 3:00 AM GMT Sat Nov 14 the center of Theta was located near 31.9, -21.6 with movement E at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical tropical storm

Tropical Storm Theta Public Advisory Number 17

2020-11-14 03:35:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 300 AM GMT Sat Nov 14 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 140235 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Theta Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020 300 AM GMT Sat Nov 14 2020 ...THETA BEGINS WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 21.6W ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SE OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Theta was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 21.6 West. Theta is moving toward the east near 10 mph (17 km/h). An eastward or east-southeastward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday, followed by a sharp northward turn Sunday night into early next week. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Theta is expected to become a remnant low by late Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm Theta Forecast Advisory Number 17

2020-11-14 03:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 140234 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 21.6W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 420SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 21.6W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 22.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.8N 20.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.6N 18.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.7N 17.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.3N 17.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.9N 16.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 21.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/CANGIALOSI

Tags: number storm advisory tropical