je.st

Home › theta

Tag: theta

Tropical Storm Theta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2020-11-13 09:37:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 628 FONT15 KNHC 130837 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM THETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 24.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tags: number speed wind storm

Summary for Tropical Storm Theta (AT5/AL302020)

2020-11-13 09:37:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...THETA CONTINUES EASTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 9:00 AM GMT Fri Nov 13 the center of Theta was located near 31.9, -24.9 with movement E at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical tropical storm

Tropical Storm Theta Public Advisory Number 14

2020-11-13 09:37:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 900 AM GMT Fri Nov 13 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 130837 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Theta Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020 900 AM GMT Fri Nov 13 2020 ...THETA CONTINUES EASTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 24.9W ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SSE OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Theta was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 24.9 West. Theta is moving toward the east near 12 mph (19 km/h). The cyclone should turn toward the east-southeast and slow its forward speed today. A continued slow east-southeastward motion is then expected through the weekend followed a turn sharply toward the north by early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 12 hours or so. Afterward, weakening is expected through the weekend, and Theta is expected to become a remnant low on Sunday and dissipate in 5 days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm Theta Forecast Advisory Number 14

2020-11-13 09:36:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 130836 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 24.9W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 140SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 540SW 320NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 24.9W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 25.4W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.7N 23.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.4N 21.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.1N 19.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 30.9N 18.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 31.1N 18.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.1N 18.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 36.0N 17.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 24.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tags: number storm advisory tropical