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Summary for Tropical Storm Helene (AT3/AL082018)

2018-09-14 10:51:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HELENE SPEEDING NORTHWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND... As of 5:00 AM AST Fri Sep 14 the center of Helene was located near 30.6, -36.0 with movement N at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm Helene Public Advisory Number 28

2018-09-14 10:51:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018 292 WTNT33 KNHC 140851 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Helene Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082018 500 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018 ...HELENE SPEEDING NORTHWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 36.0W ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SW OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Portugal has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for all of the Azores Islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * All of the Azores Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36 hours. Interests in the Ireland and United Kingdom should consult products from their local meteorological service for information about potential impacts from Helene in those locations. Local forecasts and warnings for the UK can be found on the website of the UK Met Office at https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/. Local forecasts and warnings for Ireland can be found on the website of Met Eireann at https://www.met.ie/. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Helene was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 36.0 West. Helene is moving toward the north near 23 mph (37 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected over the weekend. On the forecast track, Helene will pass near or over the Azores late Saturday or Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Gradual weakening is expected after Helene becomes a post-tropical cyclone over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area by late Saturday. RAINFALL: Helene is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches across the Azores, with isolated amounts up to 8 inches across the western Azores. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Helene are affecting portions of the Azores. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Storm Helene Forecast Advisory Number 28

2018-09-14 10:51:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018 291 WTNT23 KNHC 140851 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082018 0900 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AZORES ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALL OF THE AZORES ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 36.0W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 240SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 36.0W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 36.2W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.4N 35.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.7N 33.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 39.3N 30.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 41.3N 26.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.5N 17.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 160SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 51.5N 8.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 36.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Summary for Tropical Storm Helene (AT3/AL082018)

2018-09-14 07:38:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HELENE HEADING NORTH... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND... As of 2:00 AM AST Fri Sep 14 the center of Helene was located near 29.7, -36.2 with movement N at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm Helene Public Advisory Number 27A

2018-09-14 07:38:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018 766 WTNT33 KNHC 140538 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Helene Intermediate Advisory Number 27A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082018 200 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018 ...HELENE HEADING NORTH... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 36.2W ABOUT 815 MI...1310 KM SW OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * All of the Azores Islands A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Helene was located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 36.2 West. Helene is moving toward the north near 21 mph (33 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected over the weekend. On the forecast track, Helene will pass near or over the Azores late Saturday or Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Saturday. RAINFALL: Helene is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches across the Azores, with isolated amounts up to 8 inches across the western Azores. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Helene are affecting portions of the Azores. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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