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Tropical Storm NORBERT Forecast Advisory Number 3
2014-09-03 04:39:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 030239 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.9W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE 150SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.9W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.8N 107.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.4N 108.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.1N 109.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.9N 110.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 112.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 24.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.3N 117.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 106.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Summary for Tropical Storm NORBERT (EP4/EP142014)
2014-09-03 04:39:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NORBERT NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... ...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN... As of 8:00 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 the center of NORBERT was located near 19.2, -106.9 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm NORBERT Graphics
2014-09-03 01:33:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 02 Sep 2014 23:33:43 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 02 Sep 2014 21:05:34 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm NORBERT (EP4/EP142014)
2014-09-03 01:32:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NORBERT GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD... As of 5:00 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 the center of NORBERT was located near 18.9, -106.5 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm NORBERT Public Advisory Number 2A
2014-09-03 01:32:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM PDT TUE SEP 02 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 022332 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORBERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 500 PM PDT TUE SEP 02 2014 ...NORBERT GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 106.5W ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST. NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. NORBERT IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...NORBERT SHOULD BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER COLIMA AND WESTERN PARTS OF MICHOACAN AND JALISCO IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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